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Showing posts with label Campaign 2008. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Campaign 2008. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Fire up the liberal hysteria...

by George Dienhart

Nothing gets liberals more worked up than the truth- especially during an election year. Today the president made a statement. One sentence that the left will be crying about throughout the election cycle.

He stated that electing a Democrat president might "eventually lead to another attack on the United States."

Exactly what part of this is untrue? Both Democrats want to cut and run. Both Democrats want to return to battling terrorist through law enforcement agencies. As demonstrated in the Clinton years, law enforcement agencies are ill equipped to lead this battle.

The president delivered this dose of truth yesterday during an interview with the Politico and Yahoo.  Liberals usually use this as fodder for “Republicans win elections through fear” stories. The truth is, if this tactic is used, it only works because Democrats have painted themselves into a corner. They can’t run far enough to the left, and the extreme left wants out of the war at any cost. Obama is pandering to this crowd, and will pull us out of Iraq. This drawdown will be devastating not just to the Iraq, but also to the United States. 9/11 was bad enough, we don’t need an even bigger event to remind us why winning in Iraq is important.

Look at who's ahead in the popular vote...

by George Dienhart

Popular Vote (w/FL & MI)

 

 

16,668,051

47.7%

16,671,990

47.7%

 

 

 

Clinton +3,939

+0.01%

 

Real Clear Politics has Hillary ahead in the popular vote. This is part of a dual strategy to convince delegates that she’s their gal. The other half of the strategy is reminding people that Obama has not been able to win in the states that Democrats absolutely have to win in order to win the presidency. To wit:

California

02/05

 

2,186,662

43.2%

2,608,184

51.5%

 

 

 

Clinton +421,522

+8.3%

New York

02/05

 

751,019

40.3%

1,068,496

57.4%

 

 

 

Clinton +317,477

+17.1%

Pennsylvania

04/22

 

1,046,822

45.4%

1,260,937

54.6%

 

 

 

Clinton +214,115

+9.2%

These states have provided large margins of victory for Hillary, and the super delegates must address this. If McCain takes 2 out of the three, he is almost guaranteed victory in November.

Someone is finally paying attention..

by George Dienhart

From the Wall Street Journal:

Wall Street Journal A1: "Recession? Not So Fast, Say Some: Despite Pain, Economists Begin Dialing Back Dire Forecasts": "[T]hough two main pillars of the economy, the labor market and consumer spending, have faltered, they have not collapsed as they did in past recessions. ... Job losses, meanwhile, have been less severe than they usually are in recessions. And many economists think the government's earliest estimate of first-quarter GDP growth - 0.6 percent - will be revised upward."

Repeat after me- there is no recession…

 

ABC News outs Obama

by George Dienhart

Interesting, this is got to be the first time Big Media has stopped fluffing Obama (I’m referring to his pillow). In the interview, Obama not only showed he hasn’t a clue about what’s going on in Iraq and Afghanistan, he also showed a visible loss of poise. Loss of poise is potentially disastrous for a candidate who has been running a “style over substance” campaign. From ABCNews.com:

"Obama posited - incorrectly - that Arabic translators deployed in Iraq are needed in Afghanistan - forgetting, momentarily, that Afghans don't speak Arabic. ... No sooner did Obama realize his mistake - and correct himself - but he immediately made another. 'We need agricultural specialists in Afghanistan, people who can help them develop other crops than heroin poppies, because the drug trade in Afghanistan is what is driving and financing these terrorist networks ... ,' he said. ... 'But if we are sending them to Baghdad, they're not in Afghanistan,' Obama said. ... In Iraq, oil fields not poppy fields are a major source of U.S. technical assistance."

Well, it’s no wonder he want’s to cut and run- he clearly doesn’t understand what’s going on in Iraq (or Afghanistan). This is just one more example of “style over substance”. His campaign communicates nothing but marketing sound bites, and the candidate stumbles badly when forced to comment on actual foreign policy issues.

It's clobbering time...

by George Dienhart

Here are the numbers from last nights West Virginia Democratic primary (via AP):

1,883 of 1,894 precincts - 99 percent
Hillary Clinton   236,982 - 67 percent
Barack Obama   91,017 - 26 percent
John Edwards    25,851 - 07 percent

Again, I hate to point this out to the radical left, but doesn’t this concern you? The candidate you selected not only can’t win primaries- he’s getting slaughtered. Maybe it’s time to reevaluate?

Good Morning (part 2)

by George Dienhart

Good morning, to Rep. Tom Davis (R-Va.). He was who was NRCC chairman from 1998 to 2002. Are you measuring Tom Cole’s NRCC office for drapes yet?

Good Morning

by George Dienhart

Good morning to Oklahoma Rep. Tom Cole, who heads up the House Republican campaign committee. Just curious, are you done destroying the Republican Party yet? Another disaster in what was once considered a safe Republican seat has me thinking that you should consider a new career- perhaps in the demolition industry.

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

If the election were held today, who would win?



By George Dienhart


I found great little utility over at 270towin.com. As you may have guessed, it’s a tool to predict possible paths to victory in the electoral vote this number. There is polling data and historical data for each state. Nifty tools on the web don’t normally make the cut on what I want to write about. The news is in the results. It’s a McCain victory:

As you can see, there is a whole lot of red on that map. The totals are 305 McCain to 233 Obama. That’s a pretty good cushion for McCain. And this is before the 527’s get a hold of Obama and his myriad of personal problems.

There is no trickery here- the McCain states are the states in which he is ahead, and which traditionally go Republican. My analysis is NOT the same as just clicking the websites “McCain vs. Obama” link. That link leaves states such as Texas in a “tossup” category. Texas is clearly McCain territory according to polling and past history. In my simulation McCain states went to McCain and Obama States went to Obama. With McCain’s path to victory clear, why is big media still acting as though the election is a done deal, anointing Obama as president? Can anyone say liberal bias?

DNC self-flagellation to continue

by George Dienhart

Why, oh why, do Democrats do this to themselves? It was supposed to be their year. As a staunch Republican, I still have to overcome laughter every time I turn my attention to the race for the Democratic Party Presidential nomination. Certainly there are more important stories, as the nomination is all but wrapped up, but there are none more entertaining. Today’s story in the today’s New York Post claims that 64% of all Democrats want Hillary Clinton to stay in the race. To me this is mind-boggling.

In recent history, Democrats win when the economy is an issue. True the recent history I speak of is Bill Clinton, but the DNC has convinced Big Media that there is a recession, and many people have fallen for the marketing blitz. This would normally mean that the opposition party (as far as the White House is concerned) is poised to run away with the election. This is clearly not the case with McCain running statistically (within the margin of error) even or ahead of Obama in almost every case. In most of these same polls Clinton leads McCain. As an angry, bald, white guy once said, It’s the economy, stupid (even if it’s not). Why don’t voters trust Obama with the economy?

Most likely, it is a combination of things. For starters, he has no experience, whatsoever, in running a large organization. Budget work is hard work and requires energy and ideas, not catchphrases and positive “buzz”.

Secondly- Taxes. I know it is hard for Democrats to realize, but we already pay too much. Tax cuts stimulate the economy. Lower taxes under President bust have lead to record revenues. Obama’s tax hike would be historic- not just due to its massive size, but also because of the massive damage that would be done to the economy. The tax increase, in conjunction with an increase in spending so large that it defies logical explanation, will almost certainly throw us into a four year recession.

There is also an issue of trust. Repeatedly, Obama shows us that he has poor judgment. This is not the time for the United States to select a leader with judgment problems..

When you roll this all up- it spells out why most Democrats want Hillary to keep fighting the good fight. As a Republican, I can only sit back and enjoy the ride.

McCain Snappy answers to stupid questions

by George Dienhart

Two email releases from Team McCain yesterday:

"Obama Is The High Tax Candidate, Having Proposed More New Tax Increases"

"Obama Voted Against The FY 2007 Iraq Emergency Spending Bill That Provided Nearly $1.8 Billion For Veterans Medical Care."

Two important points, indeed…

 

 

Monday, May 12, 2008

Does the RNC finally get it?

by George Dienhart

The Washington Times has obtained a memo outlining what may be the Republican campaign strategy this fall. In part, the memo states:

"It starts with this: Washington is broken, the American people want it fixed, and Democrats in Washington have proven unable or unwilling to get the job done. Republicans will,"

This is addressing that “change” thing all the kids are so crazy about these days. It is also putting the lack of change over the last two years squarely where it belongs- right at speaker Pelosi’s dainty little feet. This is the first salvo of a policy that is designed to stem the massive hemorrhaging that is slowly killing the GOP.

It is all part of what the RNC calls "American Families Agenda"- which is scheduled to kick off on Wednesday. The Agenda is designed to address challenges confronting families and will seek to replace outdated laws to help women with children who work outside the home and families in which both parents work. These groups normally skew to the left, and are a growing part of the population. The first item on the agenda addresses rising fuel costs- this is good timing because prices will drop after the summer travel season ends. This will keep the agenda on people’s minds as the prices drop. Mmm mmm- that’s good politics.

Other parts of the agenda will address health care, the economy and national security. The Democrats have seized the health care issue as a tent pole in their own strategy. The economy and national security are normally GOP territory. This year the economy may be in play- but economic concerns are already ebbing as the dollar gains strength and employment numbers keep coming in better than expected. The economy grew last quarter, meaning there is no chance that the current slowdown can be rightfully called a recession- it takes negative growth in consecutive quarters for that. The economy will probably grow again this quarter anyway, albeit more slowly than I would like to see. Voters are not stupid and truth normally wins out at the end of the day. Barring any kind of catastrophe, the economy is likely to be a non-factor in this election.

As always, the devil is in the details. Politicians make promises all the time. The Democrats made their 6 in ’06 promises two years ago and dropped the ball on every one of the six promises. We all want cheaper fuel, but how are we going to get it? The first step is to enact a strong dollar policy- a stronger dollar will buy more oil per dollar than a weak dollar. We also need to drill, drill, drill, and drill. In short, we need to stop printing money as if it was the Sunday paper, and start developing our own oil fields. The strong dollar part of the equation could be done immediately by the fed buying back gobs of greenbacks. Europe would most likely agree to a similar buying spree as it is in their best interests as well. Developing our untapped fields in the ocean and in Alaska will take longer, but have long-term benefits.

As far as healthcare goes, I feel we are falling into a trap to outspend the Democrats on this. Even if we win elections, we may lose if the GOP jumps on any kind of healthcare plan that infringes on what is currently the best healthcare system in the world. We can drive down rates by allowing insurance companies to pool the members across the nation, as opposed to having separate plans for each state. The potential savings of truly national insurance are massive would open up the markets to millions of new consumers.

As far as national defense goes, we really need to differentiate ourselves from the Democrats here, and it comes down to one thing- do you want to surrender or win?, America will chose to win, by an overwhelming margin when the stakes are spelled out. This is an easy victory for us.

I will cover this more Wednesday after the news embargo on this is lifted. We will see how close I am.

 

Someone else that doesn't know when to call it quits

by George Dienhart

I’m talking to you Bob Barr. Apparently, he’s a Libertarian now. A Libertarian with WAYYYY to much time on his hands. What’s Bob’s solution to the federal government spending too much? Why he’s planning on trying to siphon off votes from the candidate that best represents restraint in spending. Great plan Bob, really.

Why is she hanging in there?

by George Dienhart

Clintonista Terry McAuliffe knows why, and dishes in an email sent to solicit campaign funds:

'Hillary is within striking distance of winning the popular vote nationwide - a key part of our plan to win the nomination.'

It looks as though she is not planning to bow out graciously after Obama declares victory on the 20th. The next two states should go to Hillary by overwhelming margins, adding to her popular vote lead.

Double standard prevails

by George Dienhart

Camp Obama refuses to address corruption issues- ties to Toby Rezko. The Rezko issue was active just 3 years ago when Rezko helped Obama buy his McMansion. Why is this relevant? It is relevant because the Obama Camp has decided to bring up the “Keating 5” scandal from McCain’s past. Past as in 1989. Interesting double standard. A fascinating historical footnote is that 4 members of the Keating 5 were Democrats. Why is that relevant? According to a wikipedia article, Robert S. Bennett, whom McCain had hired to represent him in this matter, defended McCain's character and was one of many people who criticized the piece. Bennett, who was the special investigator during the Keating Five scandal that The Times revisited in the article, said that he fully investigated McCain back then and suggested to the Senate Ethics Committee to not pursue charges against McCain because of "no evidence against him." Bennett was coincidentally on Hannity and Colmes the night the story broke to talk about his autobiography. On the show, he said that he felt the Committee pursued charges against McCain because, without him, the case would have been entirely against Democrats.” I guess that is what passes as fair to the Democrats.

The Scorecard

by George Dienhart

List courtesy of the New York Times:

Republicans and Democrats agree that the following states are in play:

Colorado

Florida

Iowa

Michigan

Minnesota

New Hampshire

New Mexico

Nevada

Ohio

Oregon

Pennsylvania

Virginia

Washington

Wisconsin.
Republicans believe that they can add:

New Jersey

California

Democrats believe that they can be competitive in

Georgia

North Carolina

South Carolina

One things for sure- the maps going to look a whole lot different on election night.

 

The biggest insult of all

by George Dienhart

Obama is compared to Walter Mondale in the Chicago Tribune:

"Obama's 2-front battle has given McCain an edge.  We'll make the case that Barack Obama is a wonderful new voice selling old, discredited ideas, including the most massive tax increase since Walter Mondale ran for president,' said Steve Schmidt, a senior McCain adviser. 'It's a combination of weakness, not being ready to be president and not being able to deliver on the things he says he will deliver on.'”

Maureen Dowd nixes "Dream Ticket"

By George Dienhart

Dowd states (via the Politico):

"Obama will never be at his best around Hillary; she drains him of his magical powers. She's Jane Jinx to him. It's a similar syndrome to the one Katharine Hepburn's star athlete and her supercilious fiancé have in 'Pat and Mike.'

Rezko comes up again in Newsweek

by George Dienhart

This is why I wrote today’s first post about Obama and Rezko- you’ll be hearing a lot more of Rezko’s name as we move closer to the general election. Via Newsweek:

“Obama is 'extremely vulnerable' to questioning about his ties to Chicago fixer Tony Rezko, who has been indicted for political corruption. (Obama is not linked to any wrongdoing.) Another target is former Weather Underground member Bill Ayers, whose association with Obama will remind voters of bomb-throwing student radicals of the 1960s. 'There's plenty of stuff out there,' says Brown. 'I'm kinda like in a candy store in this election.”

The article also describes the upcoming election cycle as “swiftboat times 5”

The mighty middle?

by George Dienhart

Gerald F. Seib and John Harwood of The Wall Street Journal speculates that moderates may pave the way to a less confrontational legislature:

'The long, fascinating spectacle of the presidential primaries has all but obscured their potential impact on American politics: Campaign 2008 may break Washington's gridlock by reviving the long-dormant political center. ...
They go on to write, 'In the wake of Tuesday's primary elections in North Carolina and Indiana, it appears more likely than ever that the two presidential candidates this fall will be Sen. Barack Obama for the Democrats and Sen. John McCain for the Republicans. They happen to be the two most surprisingly successful candidates of the year, and both got ahead largely by arguing they have unique abilities to bring people together in Washington.'

This is probably true of a McCain presidency. An Obama presidency will be more successful in passing legislation that the Bush administration, largely due the Democrats majority in both houses. I doubt that there would be a lot of reaching across the isle, though. There’s not enough common ground between conservatives and the nation’s most liberal Senator (by ACU rating).

From the unintentionally funny file:

by George Dienhart

According to Ron Allen on 'the Chris Matthews Show, Sen. Obama has quite a sense of humor. Or maybe he’s just a vindictive jerk:  'May 20th: Oregon, Kentucky - the day that Obama thinks he's going to get a majority of the pledged delegates. He's probably going to have a big speech, not in Louisville or Portland, but probably in a swing state - Michigan or Florida - and really make a pitch to get this thing moving to the general election.'

So, he’ll declare victory in one of the states that he has worked so hard to disenfranchise. Funny Guy, that Obama…