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Thursday, May 22, 2008

How the left is propagating the Obama is Muslim rumor

by George Dienhart

While browsing Reddit.com today I notices a link entitled “Misconceptions about Obama Continue. This time the Jews in Florida think he's Muslim and al Qaeda is supporting him”. The article in the International Herald Tribune, does quote some Jewish people that evidently, have, taken some of the lies spread about Obama as being truthful. However, the sample of people interviewed by the IHT is small. I can go out and find equal numbers of people who believe that the United States never landed a man on the moon. I can probable find a larger number of 9/11 truthers at a single Ron Paul event. In short, just because groups of people are in a newspaper, it does not mean they are a credible representation of a given community. It just means what they said caught the reporters ear.

Neither the IHT or Reddit could be termed conservative, yet they both propagate the myth. In the case of Reddit, anyone can pick a headline for a URL- it only reflects the view of the person submitting it; bit the IHT is a newspaper. It has editorial standards. I made the choice to vilify conservatives for something they are not doing. Jewish People in Florida are about 80 percent Democrat. Even amongst this admittedly small sample size, they are most likely Democrats. Why is the left doing this?

The answer is so they can blame the Republicans. Keep perpetuating an untruth, and eventually it will be believed. If evil Republicans are blamed for spreading this rumor, then they can then be blamed for leading the Florida’s elderly Jewish population asunder. It is all about assigning blame. If McCain wins Florida, it will not be because Jews have been misled to believe Obama is Muslim by Republicans. It is because Floridians, like most Americans, have found him to be too liberal and too inexperienced…

Bloomberg annoints Webb as Obama VP.

by George Dienhart

Bloomberg had the same idea as I had- last week.

Bloomberg News commentary that Obama's veep could help solve his problem with "non-college-educated, working-class Ronald Reagan Democrats": "Barring putting Clinton on the ticket - and most Obama folks do - there's another Democrat who fills the bill, the freshman senator from Virginia, Jim Webb."

As I said last week- it will be Webb.

Teddy Kennedy news from the NY Daily News

by George Dienhart

While I have never been a supporter, I do wish him the best. I fear that regardless of what his people are saying, this seems like he may have accepted the bad news and wishes to spend what little time he has left with his family:

"Brave Teddy leaves hosp, goes sailing. "Ted Kennedy has made clear to confidants that ... he wants his Senate seat to stay in the family - with his wife, Vicki. Multiple sources in Massachusetts with close ties to the liberal lion say his wife of 16 years has long been his choice to continue carrying the family flame in the Senate."

Naming his choice of successor and going sailing- looks like he has resigned to moving on.

Quinnipiac has McCain ahead in two must win states:

by George Dienhart

Quinnipiac FLORIDA - McCain 45, Obama 41
Quinnipiac OHIO - McCain 44, Obama 40.

Good news for the McCain camp.

How Georgia fixes it's test scores

by George Dienhart

Hey Georgia- are your school test scores to low (we all know the answer to that)? The State of Georgia has a novel new approach to the problem. Throw out the scores! To call this shameful does not even begin to qualify this action.

The excuses are there, but upon looking at state School Superintendent Kathy Cox has citied as the reason for failure, the blame should be placed squarely on the states shoulders. What happened? Let us look at the corresponding numbers and excuses.

Nineteen percent of students failed the math portion of the test. Department Spokeswoman Dana Tufig provided the AJC this excuse: "Math is an area where Georgia students have struggled for a long time. This isn't out of line with what we've seen." Okay- Math performance has always been sub-par. It is now an acceptable Georgia tradition. It is acceptable because it has always been that way. Seems to me like we a paving the path to hell with lowered expectations.

That 19% number probably horrifies people in outside of Georgia. In many states, heads would roll for this kind of performance. However, in Georgia, this was seen as a success. What do we see as failure? Monday, School Superintendent Kathy Cox announced that 70 to 80 percent seventh-graders had failed the social studies exam and about 40 percent of Georgia's 124,000 eighth-graders failed in math. I guess that does make the overall math scores look god in comparison. So how do fix this in Georgia? Well first, we look for an excuse. For math, Tofig provided an excuse. “The math test is very well aligned with the curriculum.  It is a new test, testing a brand new curriculum that's more rigorous." Therefore, if the testing is more rigorous, that means that schools were not doing their job in past years, because the math scores were much higher. It also means that schools were not prepared to teach the new curriculum this year. If they were, the test scores would have been better.

How does the state address the embarrassingly low Social Studies scores? They were so bad that even Kathy Cox could not come up with an adequate excuse. To wit, "I think we got in a hurry and we tried to find a middle ground for what this middle-school classroom should look like," she said. "We put too much in the curriculum for teachers to teach and didn't get specific enough on what they had to teach." In other words, it was the states fault for rolling out a curriculum which Cox herself referred to as “vague”

The answers to our problems in Georgia do not lie in excuses or another change in curriculum. The solution is provided in two parts. The first is teacher accountability. If teachers are not capable of teaching the curriculum offered by the state, them they should not be teaching. The union needs to allow the state to weed out the massive amount of bad teachers in Georgia. This, obviously, helps the students. It also helps the good teachers who are left behind. They would no longer have to cover the inadequacies of their co-workers.

The second answer is provided by issuing school vouchers. A voucher that takes ½ of the tax dollars meant to educate each student and allocates it to the school of the family’s choice would help everyone. For my own benefit, we will keep the numbers simple. Let’s say a school district has ten thousand students, each receiving eight thousand dollars. That is an 80 million dollar pot of cash. Now let us say two thousand students opt out. That leaves 74 million dollars for public education- liberals are screaming about an eight million dollar loss right about now. The magic lies in the math. The average amount of money available to spend for each public school child has risen from eight thousand dollars to nine thousand dollars. That is about an extra twenty five thousand dollars to spend on an average sized elementary school class. It could go for equipment, textbooks, or even teacher salaries. Vouchers would be as good for public schools as they would private schools.

Now the teacher’s union cronies can speak up- “That means fewer jobs for teachers!” No, however, it may mean fewer union jobs for teachers. This is a complaint born out of the self-interest of the unions. Competition means more private and parochial schools, which favor smaller class sizes. That means more jobs for teachers.

Our children should be the utmost importance, especially to educators. Simply ignoring our problems is not helping our children.

Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Democrat Delegate rundown

by George Dienhart
Yesterday I did a quick delegate breakdown for the Democrats. Today, we will dive into the numbers a little deeper, including yesterday’s results. I’ll also cover why this is a grim day not only for Hillary, but also for Obama. First, yesterdays results.

If Hillary is going to continue to spin the popular vote and late season surge as reasons she is the best choice, she should be announcing herself as the overall victor of yesterdays primaries. When both states are combined, she won overwhelmingly- 13 percentage points, and 155 thousand votes. That’s a big turnout for Hillary, but it was only one day. A day that is extremely late in the primary process. Here’s a review of the overall delegate count.



Here, we notice a slight shift in the results, dependant on how you count. Under the DNC’s present rules, Obama is ahead in every category, though not decisively. The magic (or depending on who you ask, witchcraft) occurs when you include the presently disenfranchised Florida and Michigan voters, there is slight gain for Hillary. When you increase the number of delegates needed to clinch to the 2209 delegates that the Clinton Campaign frequently cites, Hillary is nearly back in the hunt. Notice that Obama’s delegate lead drops from 183 to 68 under the reformulation. How is this significant?

There are three states/territories left. Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota. All three are projected to go to Hillary. I project that Hillary gets 35 out of 55 in Puerto Rico. She’ll get 11 out of 16 in Montana and 10 out of 15 in South Dakota. That gives 2029 to Obama’s 2071. Both candidates are still short of the necessary delegates whether you count Florida and Michigan or not. That leaves the decision in the 167 super delegates that remain uncommitted. This nomination now depends on who cuts them a better deal…

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Ted Kennedy update

By George Dienhart       

The AP is reporting that Sen. Ted Kennedy has a Brain Tumor.

Delegate Math

by George Dienhart

Generally, an election will be won by whoever receives more votes. Sure, there are complications sometime- hanging chads and electoral colleges, but most of the time the winner of the popular vote wins the election. In light of that, I would like you to review some numbers. Four numbers, to be exact. The first two are the results of the Democratic primaries, under the rules that are now in place:
Obama 16,071,846

Clinton 15,492,344.

That is Obama 50.91% to Clinton 49.09%. That is a pretty close election. Tantalizingly close for Hillary. So close that she wants to change the rules. Changing the rules is an old Clinton tactic- if you do not like the way something works, change the circumstances of the outcome. When the Democratic National Committee excluded Michigan and Florida, they stumbled into a minefield. Here is our second set of numbers. This is how the Clinton campaign is counting:

Clinton 16,691,639

Obama 16,648,060

That puts Hillary ahead 50.06% to 49.94% That is even closer, but it is a result that super delegates will be hearing repeatedly. They will be told that this means Hillary is the people’s choice, and as such, they should cast their lot in with her. To a floundering Hillary, this slimmest of leads provides a lifeline. The problem with a lifeline is, it is dependant on someone catching it and hauling you in. That means the ball is back in the super delegate court- and they have been treating that lifeline like a spent rod of uranium. It has been strictly hands off for some time now.

How bad are things at Camp Clinton? My informal count puts Obama ahead 28-6 this week. Super Delegates continue to line up behind Obama, forsaking “the peoples choice” Hillary. The news for Hillary gets worse- even if you count Florida and Michigan she is still behind in delegates 1995 to 1912. Even when using Hillary’s math, this still leaves her almost 300 delegates short of the nomination.

This made me think “Where are Hillary’s Super Delegate strengths?” The DNC breaks the Super Delegates into several categories. Hillary is ahead in only one- Distinguished Party Leaders. You could call this one “friends of Bill”. She leads 9-6, (with 6 votes uncommitted). Obama leads in Governors 14-11 (6), Senators 20-13 (15), Reps 93-81 (50) and Party officials 149 to 148 (100).  As you can while she is behind in nearly every category, there is room in each category for her to catch up- but not enough for her to make up the ground she needs over all. If the delegates continue to break as they have this week, Obama will get about 125 of the remaining 176. This is not enough to seize the nomination if you include the Florida and Michigan votes. Even if Hillary sweeps the remaining super delegates, wins the states she is forecast to win, and we continue to include Florida and Michigan, she still comes up short- as does Obama.

This is the silver lining for Hillary, and the minefield for the DNC. The best she can hope for is a brokered convention. If memory serves right, no one is bound to any kind of commitment after the first vote in this situation. As usual, what is good for the Clintons is bad for everyone else. That is unless you are a McCain fan…

 

 

 

 

 

Monday, May 19, 2008

Red Meat Translation of Obama advice to GOP

by George Dienhart

The Michelle Obama Damage control train has left the station. To wit, a quote from Sen. Obama:

"The GOP, should I be the nominee- I think can say whatever they wanna say about me, my track record. I've been in public life for 20 years. ... If they think that they're gonna try to make Michelle an issue in this campaign, they should be careful. Because, that I find unacceptable. ... The notion that you start attacking my wife or my family - you know, Michelle is the most honest, the best person I know. She is one of the most caring people I know. She loves this country. And for them to try to distort or to play snippets of her remarks in ways that are unflattering to her I think is ... just low class. And I think they - most of the American people would think that as well. I would never think of going after somebody's spouse in a campaign. And for - especially for - people who purport to be promoters of family! values ... to start attacking my wife in a political campaign, I think ... is detestable."

I’ll break this down for you- here’s your Red Meat Translation:

"The GOP, should I be the nominee- I think can say whatever they wanna say about me (Can we start with your lack of detail on any policy?), my track record (Both years as a Senator? I say both because you’ve spent most of your ONE term campaigning for president). I've been in public life for 20 years (The same amount of time you’ve spent as a member of Rev. Wright’s church). ... If they think that they're gonna try to make Michelle an issue in this campaign (actually, she made herself an issue), they should be careful. Because (Microsoft’s paperclip reminds me not to start sentences with “because”- just some grammar help there, Barry), that I find unacceptable. ... The notion that you start attacking my wife or my family - you know, Michelle is the most honest, the best person I know. She is one of the most caring people I know. She loves this country (She loves’s it- she’s just not proud of it. Kind of like a cat that’s to dumb to learn to use a litter box. You know, you still love it, it just embarrasses you by taking a dump in your Father in Laws shoe while you are eating dinner.) And for them to try to distort or to play snippets of her remarks in ways that are unflattering to her I think is ... just low class (Okay- we’ll stick to big issues like her fund raiser with weather underground terrorists). And I think they - most of the American people would think that as well (Apparently, he’s never picked up a newspaper) . I would never think of going after somebody's spouse in a campaign (Not even Bill Clinton? Does he remember that Huffington Post Headline- Obama Slams Bill Clinton). And for - especially for - people who purport to be promoters of family values ... to start attacking my wife in a political campaign, I think ... is detestable."

 

 

MSNBC backs me up.

by George Dienhart

Ahead of the curve twice today- MSNBC reports that McCain will be relying on party money- just like I said earlier in the day (and wrote last night).

You can read the MSNBC piece here.

Kinda of like Jesus- only older. (Quote of the Day)

By George Dienhart

Okay, I added that last part after thinking of the Senator Saturday Night Live appearance. Georgia State GOP Chairwoman Sue Everhart said

"John McCain is kind of like Jesus Christ on the cross," Everhart said as she began the second day of the state GOP convention. "He never denounced God, either.”

There you have it.

Is President Bush an asset to the McCain camp?

by George Dienhart

I have to say that I suspected that this was going to be Obama’s strategy all along. In order to win, he needs a favorable contrast with someone. The McCain/Obama contrast doesn’t favor Obama, so he is left running against President Bush. I suspect this will be a good thing for Republicans, and President Bush. This is a high-risk strategy for Obama, and it will leave him constantly reacting to initiatives put forth by the McCain camp. In essence, this means that though he chooses to run against President Bush, he is in effect running against both men.

Liberals may be licking their chops at the premise of running against the Bush legacy, but in the end, it will not have the effect so desired by Democrats. President Bush is still extremely important for in the fundraising arena. Since fund-raising is perceived as a McCain weakness, the massive amount of money that President Bush can raise for the RNC is a formidable weapon- a weapon that can be deployed to John McCain’s benefit. Let’s look at some numbers…

So far, Obama has raised $234,745,081 to McCain’s $76,691,826. In the 2004 Election, President Bush raised 374,659,453. In 2000, he raised $193,866,253. Obama currently has about 51 million on hand to McCain’s 10 million. That’s a big head start for Obama, but we must look at some other facts first.

In the 2006 election cycle, an unpopular Bush authorized his PAC to spend 21 Million dollars supporting Republicans in various congressional elections. It is not inconceivable to have a sitting president raise this kind of cash- he’ll probably raise considerably more as most of his appearances will be made to raise money for others, with the money going into their PAC. This group would include the RNC. So far this cycle, the RNC has raised 123,452,533 to the DNC’s $72,828,785. That’s a 50 million dollar difference right there- and most of this money will go to the McCain campaign. The Senatorial and Congressional wings of the party have their own PACs, each generating 50+ million dollars each thus far. Therefore, our new presidential totals are Obama 123 million McCain 133 million. President Bush is most likely good for another 3-5 million dollars if he continues to keep a low profile.

Liberals are now screaming that I am making assumptions about the future, and where the RNC and DNC will spend their respective monies. I can justify that. As much as the far left screams that Republicans are stupid, they are not. The people holding the purse strings already know that the congressional elections are going to be a blood bath for Republicans. They also know that the best-spent political money is money spent on a winner. The Republican with the best chance to win is McCain. As, such, pro-McCain functions and groups will win the lions share of their money. Again- much of this RNC money will be made at events headlined by President Bush. This money will prove to be the “great equalizer” that the McCain campaign needs. The best part of this strategy is that President Bush will never need to be within 1000 miles of John McCain for it to work. Obama won’t reap a similar benefit from Bill Clinton. There is too much animosity between the Clinton’s and Obama now. Look for a relatively quiet election season from the Clintons.

I mentioned another thing that that George Bush will bring to the campaign. That thing would be Christian Conservatives. These are overwhelming pro-life voters. While they are not one issue voters, they do vote heavily on this one issue. The gift that President Bush has already given are his supreme court nominees. McCain has pledged nominees similar to Justice Roberts and Justice Alito. Christian Conservatives may say that they are not going to turn out now, but when they realize how tantalizingly close they are to overturning Roe v Wade, they will turn out in droves. 2 more justices will most likely retire under the next President. The choice for the Christian Right is between having justices that will throw this back to the states (where it belongs) and justices that will kill this issue for another 30 years.

With the Christian Right turning out for Obama and RNC fundraising equalizing the money situation, voters will turn to other issues and realize how far out of step Obama is with the rest of the country. Moderates will then gravitate toward McCain. This should give Republicans at leat one thing to look forward to, in what may turn out to be a brutal cycle.


Hero in action

by George Dienhart

Fox news has a photo essay of a Marine surviving a hail of gunfire. This man is on the front lines defending our way of life- thank you. See the photo’s here.

 

Funniest thing you will read today

by George Dienhart

Read this.

How much would you have paid to be sitting next to Bill?

What did Bloomberg say about McCain?

by George Dienhart

I think they might be right on Lieberman. There needs to be an (R) after his name though, and soon. It’s an interesting choice that strikes at Obama’s weakness with the white middle class. Here’s what Bloomberg said…

McCain's list would include former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, even with their frosty personal relations during the presidential campaign; Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty -- if he can avoid silly moments like talking on a radio show about his lack of a sex life with his wife -- and Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman. Lieberman, who ran as the Democratic vice presidential nominee in 2000, is now an Independent and a McCain supporter. If McCain thinks the social right of the Republican Party won't bolt even though Lieberman has been pro-choice on abortion and pro-gay rights, a good hunch is this is his personal preference.

Bloomberg agrees with Red Meat...

by George Dienhart

On Obama’s choice for VP. Remember- you read about Jim Webb here, first. Here’s what Bloomberg has to say…

For Obama, here's a good bet for a shortlist: former Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman Sam Nunn, a favorite of the party's conservative wing; current Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Joe Biden; Reagan's former Navy secretary and now Virginia Democratic Senator Jim Webb; and New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg.

This summer when people say that Bloomberg called it- tell them we called it first…

Friday, May 16, 2008

As if they don't have enough money...

by George Dienhart

Our “allies” in Saudi Arabia have denied the President’s appeal to lower crude oil process. From CNN:

RIYADH, Saudi Arabia - Saudi Arabia’s leaders made clear Friday they see no reason to increase oil production until customers demand it, apparently rebuffing President Bush amid soaring U.S. gasoline prices.It was Bush’s second personal appeal this year to King Abdullah, head of the monarchy that rules this desert kingdom that is a longtime prime U.S. ally and home to the world’s largest oil reserves. But Saudi officials stuck to their position that they will only pump more oil into the system when asked to by buyers, something they say is not happening now, the president’s national security adviser told reporters. “Saudi Arabia does not have customers that are making requests for oil that they are not able to satisfy,” Stephen Hadley said on a day when oil prices topped $127 a barrel, continuing to set records. “What the Saudis wanted to tell us was we’re doing everything we can do ... to meet this problem, but it’s a complicated problem.”

No, what the Saudi’s want to tell is “We want more money” and “Yes, we forgot that little thing back in 90-91 where you came over here and saved us from being over run by Iraq.”

With friends like these…

Energy independence means doing away with these 2-bit dictators who seem to be more willing to be helped than to help. It means we need to be drilling in the Gulf and in ANWR. It means we need to start building John McCain’s 20 nuclear power plants immediately- and we also need the refineries he has promised. The change we need does not come with Obama’s smiles and platitudes- it comes in our energy policy, and McCain is the only one to announce one. If only he would drill in ANWR.

 

 

 

Coke bust in PTC

by George Dienhart

I have two messages to convey on this one- thanks to the PTC police for catching this guy. The second is what the hell is going on here?

In the last year PTC has suffered numerous school lockdowns, and drug related arrests. There was even a potential shooting at McIntosh High School. I think it might be time to start remembering these things when stating in the election booth. Most of us did not move here to close to crack dealers and tattoo parlors. The city leadership needs to get a handle on what’s going on within the cities borders.

Text of Atlanta Christian College press release

by George Dienhart

ACC has narrowed down it’s list of new locations to 2- both in South Metro Atlanta:

 

EAST POINT, Ga.Atlanta Christian College’s board of trustees announced today [May 15] that the cities of Newnan and Peachtree City are currently the top two venues under consideration in the college’s relocation process.

Atlanta Christian College announced in October 2007 that they had outgrown the East Point location where their campus has been since its founding in 1937.

“We are honored by the number of cities and communities throughout Georgia that have expressed interest in becoming the new hometown for Atlanta Christian College’s main campus,” said interim President Dean Collins, an organizational effectiveness consultant and 1979 ACC graduate.

“We want to choose the city that will not only be a great new location for Atlanta Christian College,” Collins said, “but will also allow us to partner with a community to bring growth and educational opportunities.”

Collins told the Peachtree City Council at a May 15 meeting that, while he is continuing to receive regular inquiries from communities interested in hosting the campus, Peachtree City, along with Newnan, to date, have “made the most compelling cases to be our new home.”

Atlanta Christian College is working with the city of East Point to discuss the best use of the college’s current campus, including utilizing a portion of it to house the college’s new adult degree completion program.

Atlanta Christian College’s mission is to educate students for Christ-centered service and leadership throughout the world. The college’s vision is to be the college of choice for students seeking a Christian learning community that is academically challenging, spiritually vibrant and globally engaged.

ACC offers degree programs in seven areas of study, ranging from biblical studies to business, and currently enrolls approximately 400 students. The new Access program offers associate and bachelor’s degrees for adult learners, as well as online courses.

News and information about Atlanta Christian College’s relocation process can be found on the college’s web site at www.acc.edu/onthemove. You may also email the college with any questions or concerns at OnTheMove@acc.edu. The president and board chairman will answer questions biweekly; the questions and answers will be posted on the site.

 

This weeks meet the press.

By George Dienhart

Be sure to catch this week’s meet the press- it’s staring Obama’s future running mate, Jim Webb.

From NBC-"Exclusive! Sen. Jim Webb (D-VA) joins us to talk about Democratic politics, the state of the Iraq war, and his new book, 'A Time to Fight: Reclaiming a Fair and Just America.' "

Bush Wedding

by George Dienhart

I haven’t covered anything on Jenna Bush’s wedding, but I found the menu interesting:

 

Fried oysters on tostadas

pork flautas

 mango fresco

shrimp Mexicali

Lump Gulf crab parfait, layered with avocado and heirloom tomatoes, with fresh basil olive oil.

Grilled Rio Grande ranch flat iron steak with roja sauce with arbo chilis

potatoes with poblano pepper gratiné

spinach sautéed with pine nuts.

Bride's Cake: Tres leches

Groom's Cake: Chocolate

Churros with chocolate

chips with chili con queso

breakfast burritos

 

I’ve always been a sucker for a good breakfast burrito.

California Dreaming

by George Dienhart
The politico called it a gift for John McCain and at first glance, it is hard to argue:
“California Supreme Court overturns gay marriage ban: In a 4-3 decision, the justices rule that people have a fundamental 'right to marry' the person of their choice and that gender restrictions violate the state Constitution's equal protection guarantee. The scope of the court's decision could be thrown into question by an initiative already heading toward the November ballot. The initiative would amend the state Constitution to prohibit same-sex unions. The campaign over that measure began within minutes of the decision. The state's Catholic bishops and other opponents of same-sex marriage denounced the court's ruling. But Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, who previously has vetoed two bills in favor of gay marriage, issued a statement saying he 'respects' the decision and 'will not support an amendment to the constitution that would overturn' it."

Sen. McCain does not support same-sex marriage, which is dead on with the beliefs of most conservatives. That is not the gift. The gift they refer to is the conventional wisdom that every Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) initiative has brought out Republicans in droves. Ironically, this act by the ultra-liberal California Supreme Court may have put California in play for McCain.
Conventional wisdom says that yes, this is a huge victory for McCain. In the coming days, you will hear that it was the DOMA initiative in Ohio that won the election in 2004. That statement is most likely correct. It may not have been the DOMA that won the election for the President, though. The DOMA supporters had a very effective organization in place. This issue does not just skew to the right- it points directly at the right. Therefore- an extremely effective conservative organization on the ground, the Ohio organization won the state for President Bush, and inadvertently the nation. I do not believe this was a case of conservatives coming out for a pro-DOMA president. It represents that pro-DOMA voters are overwhelmingly Republican. There is an important difference, which we will address later.

This though made me think that we needed a statistical analysis of DOMA results. I found information on 29 DOMA initiatives. 28 have passed- only Arizona’s did not pass- it was narrowly defeated in 2006 (51 to 49 percent). How many of these resulted in turnout increases? I found turnout data on 19 of these ballot initiatives, out of which 17 resulted in measurable increases. The data gets more interesting. 24 races involved either a Presidential of Gubernatorial race on the same ballot. Republicans won 18 of these races. Interestingly, Idaho was the only state where voter turnout was down. Going against conventional wisdom, this state’s gubernatorial race was won by a Republican.



Upon further analysis-, most of the states that were won by Republicans were states that are normally states that are safely Republican- the same held true for Democrats. The anomaly is Ohio. The Democrats thought they had this state. It was a battleground state and both campaigns put forth time and money. The difference was Republicans squeezing extra votes out of the Ohio DOMA effort. This was a side effect of the DOMA- it was not a brilliant tactical move by the Bush team. Our data points out that normal rank and file Republicans carries out most of the activism in DOMA initiative elections. In Ohio, DOMA organizers knew that this was going to be close election and were successful in getting new conservatives involved in the political process. It is here that there is hope for the McCain campaign, and for Californians wishing to pass family friendly laws. Californians will organize on this issue, but the McCain Camp needs to ensure that they organize strongly enough to give his campaign the critical bounce that could handily win the election for him.

There is someone that both of these groups need to connect with. Honestly, they need to do more than connect- they need to motivate him to move from Ohio to California and take the reigns of this effort. His name is Phil Buress, and he is the chairman of Ohio Campaign to Protect Marriage. He is the man that is largely responsible for the passage of the Ohio DOMA. Buress is grudgingly supporting McCain. He told Christian World magazine “McCain wasn't my first choice, and I'm not sure about him now, but we've got a zero chance of getting a conservative Supreme Court justice out of either Clinton or Obama. I don't know whether we've got a 25 percent chance, or a 50 percent chance, or a 100 percent chance with McCain—but it's better than zero, and I'm going to do everything in my power to help get him elected. He's our best shot."

While that falls short of a resounding endorsement, it is an endorsement nonetheless. It also means that Buress is likely willing to work for McCain. The best job for Buress is to make use of his talents in turning out DOMA voters in California. If California is to amend its constitution in favor of pro family laws, it will need a strong and experienced leader to run the effort. The benefits to the McCain camp are obvious. Both organizations should be on the phone to Phil Buress- the sooner the better.

Quote of the day- Statement from the Tennessee GOP

"While Mrs. Obama has trouble being proud of the country where she earned degrees from Princeton University and Harvard Law School and then became a multimillionaire, her husband makes statements that belittle average Americans' response to the difficulties of life."

See a speacial video from the Tennessee GOP HERE

Why doesn't Bush do something about gas prices?

by George Dienhart

Hysterical Liberal “Why doesn’t Bush do something about gas prices?”

Conservative “Like go to the Saudi family and ask them to increase production?”

Hysterical Liberal “Yes!”

AP's Jennifer Loven: "RIYADH, Saudi Arabia - President Bush, on a one-day visit to Saudi Arabia, is taking a second stab on Friday at getting the oil-rich nation to increase production and drive down the soaring gasoline prices hurting U.S. consumers. ... When Air Force One landed in the Saudi capital on Friday, the president got a red carpet welcome on the tarmac and was warmly greeted by Saudi leaders as a military band played the U.S. national anthem, slightly off-key.”

Hysterical Liberal “Oh.”

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Sweetie

by George Dienhart

What would happen if McCain called a member of the press corps “Sweetie”? All Hell would break lose. For Obama, it’s just another day at the office.

The reporter from Michigan attempts to ask a question to Obama about assisting automakers.

"Hold on one second there, sweetie," he says.

The reporter ends her report with this: "This sweetie never did get an answer to that question."

Video (Fox News)

Follow up on "The Change You Deserve"

by George Dienhart

Recently I wrote a piece on a new RNC strategy called “Does the RNC finally get it?” I also promised to follow up after the details were released, via a handy memo from the RNC- here it is:

Americans are less than six months from an historic election. And once again, this election will be about change.

House Democrats said they represented change in 2006. They promised a “new direction for America,” a “commonsense plan” to “lower gas prices” and “tax cuts for the middle class.”

Promises made, promises broken. Democrats in control of Congress passed the largest tax increase in American history, burdening the middle class with higher taxes to bankroll hundreds of billions in new Washington spending. Costs of living have skyrocketed. Americans are now paying a Pelosi premium at the gas pump, with prices $1.30 higher than when the Speaker was sworn-in last year. Home values have fallen, and the economy has slowed dramatically.

This is not the change Democrats promised America. In fact, the Democrats’ record is a betrayal of trust, a failure to learn from the mistakes both parties made in the past. No wonder congressional approval ratings are at all-time lows and cynicism in politics has never been more pervasive.

This has to change. It must change.

Seventeen months ago, House Republicans embarked on a new journey, seeking to revive the common-sense conservative principles that built our historic majority. In that time, we have worked together tirelessly to turn those ideals into a blueprint of real solutions for the American people. That process has culminated in a positive agenda of reform that delivers the change the American people are crying out for:

· Health Care. Affordable, high-quality health care for every American by giving families greater choice and control, not through a massive expansion of government health care controlled by bureaucrats;

· Economy. A stronger economy by stopping the largest tax increase in American history, cutting wasteful Washington spending, balancing the budget by 2012, passing serious entitlement reform and strengthening our housing sector.

· Energy. An energy policy that increases the supply of American-made energy – making us more energy independent, helping bring down gasoline and diesel prices, and creating jobs here at home; and

· Security. Security from threats our families face both at home and abroad by securing our borders once and for all, taking on the rising criminal threats in our communities and giving terrorists plotting new attacks no place to hide.

This week, House Republican leaders will brief the Conference on our plan, our solutions and our message. It is the result of many months of work by Republicans, including the "Reasons to Believe" working groups established by Leader Boehner; Chairman McCotter and the House Republican Policy Committee; Conference Vice Chair Kay Granger's WIN project; our ranking members, our rank-and-file members and our party's presidential nominee, Senator John McCain.

It starts with this: Washington is broken, the American people want it fixed, and Democrats in Washington have proven unable or unwilling to get the job done. Republicans will.

Americans have seen first-hand the change Democrats are making, and it is moving America in the wrong direction. To the American people, we say that Republicans will deliver “the change you deserve.”

One product of our larger effort will be announced to the American people on Wednesday, when Vice Chair Granger unveils our “American Families Agenda.” This blueprint speaks to the specific challenges American families face in the 21st century and backs it up with legislation sponsored by House Republicans.

And starting the week of May 19 in advance of Memorial Day, Republicans will announce an energy agenda, followed by subsequent plans on the economy, security and health care policy.

Through our “Change You Deserve” message and through our “American Families Agenda,” House Republicans will continue our efforts to speak directly to an American public looking for leaders who will offer real solutions for the challenges they confront every day.

Together, we can deliver for American families the change they really deserve. You will learn more about it this week

The economy bullet point is a keeper- the RNC really needs to focus on that.

Energy- too vague. More details are needed. They also better be talking to the McCain camp- they may not be in synch here. I think we are headed toward a confrontation over ANWR.

Security- this is also vague, but it has to be. Just say “We will win the damn war!”

Health Care – Again waiting on details- the RNC really needs to provide vision on this, or our taxes will skyrocket under Obamacare.

I’ll be keeping an eye on this story.

Quote of the day- Robert Gates

Via the economist

“[I]t is hard to conceive of any country confronting the United States directly in conventional terms—ship to ship, fighter to fighter, tank to tank—for some time to come. The record of the past quarter century is clear: the Soviets in Afghanistan; the Israelis in Lebanon; the United States in Somalia, Afghanistan and Iraq. Smaller, irregular forces—insurgents, guerrillas, terrorists—will find ways, as they always have, to frustrate and neutralize the advantages of larger, regular militaries. And even nation-states will try to exploit our perceived vulnerabilities in an asymmetric way, rather than play to our inherent strengths.

Overall, the kinds of capabilities we will most likely need in the years ahead will often resemble the kinds of capabilities we need today....

I believe that any major weapons program, in order to remain viable, will have to show some utility and relevance to the kind of irregular campaigns that, as I mentioned, are most likely to engage America’s military in the coming decades.”

Obama continues to struggle in key demos

by George Dienhart

From the Wall Street Journal’s Karl Rove :

"Democrats shouldn't be complacent after Tuesday. Their problems start with Mr. Obama's 41-point loss to Hillary Clinton in West Virginia. Mr. Obama lost the primary because the rejection of him by blue-collar voters is hardening. The last Democrat to win the presidency without carrying the Mountain State was Woodrow Wilson in 1916. Barely half of Mrs. Clinton's supporters in Indiana, North Carolina and West Virginia say they're ready to support Mr. Obama against Mr. McCain today. Without solid support from these voters, Mr. Obama will be in trouble in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, West Virginia, Wisconsin and other battlegrounds. So far, Mr. Obama owes his success to elites captivated by his personality. But in the general election, most folks will care more about a candidate's philosophy and stand on the issues. And what's considered mainstream values in a general election is different than in a primary. Mr. Obama knows this, which is why he peppered his North Carolina primary night speech with culturally conservative language. And it is also why he is reaching out to Jewish voters”

You can hate Karl Rove if you want but his political sense is uncanny. This has to be circulating around Camp Obama this morning.

McCain outlines his strategy

by George Dienhart

McCain had this to say about the war yesterday:

"[W]hat I want to do today is take a little time to describe what I would hope to have achieved at the end of my first term as President. ... By January 2013, America has welcomed home most of the servicemen and women who have sacrificed terribly so that America might be secure in her freedom. The Iraq War has been won. Iraq is a functioning democracy, although still suffering from the lingering effects of decades of tyranny and centuries of sectarian tension. Violence still occurs, but it is spasmodic and much reduced. Civil war has been prevented; militias disbanded; the Iraqi Security Force is professional and competent; al Qaeda in Iraq has been defeated; and the Government of Iraq is capable of imposing its authority in every province of Iraq and defending the integrity of its borders. The United States maintains a military presence there, but a much smaller one, and it does not play a direct combat role.'

Notice, he did not say the war would last a hundred years.

The speech will be followed up with a web ad today-

"The year, two thousand thirteen. The Middle East, stabilized. Nuclear terror threat, reduced. Border security, strengthened. Energy independence, advanced. Wasteful spending, reformed. Health care choice, delivered. Economic confidence, restored. The year, two thousand thirteen. The President, John McCain. JOHN MCCAIN: I'm John McCain and I approve this message."

Sounds like a plan.

Obama Offended by Bush remarks

by George Dienhart

Evidently Obama was offended by a remark made by President Bush while addressing the Knesset. The President’s statement:

"Some seem to believe we should negotiate with terrorists and radicals, as if some ingenious argument will persuade them they have been wrong all along. We have heard this foolish delusion before. As Nazi tanks crossed into Poland in 1939, an American senator declared: 'Lord, if only I could have talked to Hitler, all of this might have been avoided.' We have an obligation to call this what it is - the false comfort of appeasement, which has been repeatedly discredited by history."

Obama countered with:

“It is sad that President Bush would use a speech to the Knesset on the 60th anniversary of Israel's independence to launch a false political attack. ... George Bush knows that I have never supported engagement with terrorists and the President's extraordinary politicization of foreign policy and the politics of fear do nothing to secure the American people or our stalwart ally Israel.'

The President’s staff clarified:

CBS News quotes a White House spokesperson as saying that this is not a specific reference to Obama, since there are "at least 10 Democrats" who have taken the same position. And the passage could be a reference to Europeans or others.

What does this mean? Does Obama have a guilty conscious? The left has predictably gone off the deep end- wrongly accusing the president of calling Obama a Nazi. Typical.

 

Disaster Looming?

By George Dienhart

The Politico also reports the GOP may have a 70-seat deficit in the house next year. Democrats are calling this the death of the GOP, and reveling at the passing. As is often the case, the reality is somewhat different that the gleeful liberals believe. A 70 seat deficit for the GOP would be a major setback (for both the GOP and the nation), but it would be far from a deathblow. You have to go back to the 75th Congress (1937-1939) to find the largest ever deficit. It stood at 333 Democrats to a scant 89 Republicans. That is an advantage of 244, for the Democrats. That massive advantage did not kill the GOP. It is worth noting that this era brought massive expenditures and depression upon the United States. Coincidence?

I am sorry to inform the left that this is not the end of the GOP. It is just an opportunity to rebuild around John McCain. That process must start now, and unfortunately, it will start with bare coffers. This has been a bad year for fundraising. No one reason can be named the cause. It is a combination of successful Democratic media buys and the current “Rock Star” status of Barack Obama. There is evidence that this has already started to even out. The RNC has out raised the DNC this cycle, $95 million to $56 million. That is a good start.

The Wall Street Journal also picked up on what it is calling "The Republican Panic". They believe Republican legislators may jump ship and start voting with the Democrats to save their own skin. The Journal wisely points out that the better strategy is to come up with their own winning strategy. “The better strategy is to offer a reform agenda of their own, especially one that begins to speak to the economic anxieties of the middle class. This includes doing some homework on health care for a change, instead of ceding that field to the Democrats”

Let us hope someone at the RNC is listening…

Obama soft on Crime?

by George Dienhart

The Politico’s Heidi Przybyla on a possible RNC strategy:

 'It worked in 1988; it will be tried again in 2008. With Illinois Senator Barack Obama almost certain to be the Democratic nominee, Republican groups are focusing on his vulnerabilities. They are highlighting some of his positions during his eight years in the Illinois state legislature, from opposing extending the death penalty for gang members to supporting the 'decriminalization' of marijuana and refusing to back restrictions on porn shops.'

Nice apparently, Obama is pro-gang, pro-drugs and pro-porn…

 

Gore endorsement imminent?

by George Dienhart

Sen. Obama was heard to say the following yesterday, on his way to the Edwards endorsement shindig:

'I have spoken to Al Gore periodically over the last few months. I have talked to him mostly about policy and gotten guidance and got good ideas from him. And so I am not really pushing for an endorsement. I would love to have it,'

Obama was quoted while flying to the Edwards event- I wonder if he bought “Carbon Credits” to offset his flight?

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

A response to the Huffington Report story (The Presidency of Al Gore, 2001-2009)

by George Dienhart

The story is here. My timeline is the same as the original author. I think this way more probable than the outcome written by Norman MacAfee.

On January 20, 2001, Al Gore, the candidate who won the most votes, becomes the 43rd president of the United States. A constitutional crisis develops as the electoral college is ignored. Years later, historians refer to this event as the American coup of 2001.
Al Gore continues the same policies as the Clinton administration. The 9/11 events still occur as they did in our timeline.


Shortly after 9/11, Al Gore refuses to send Special Forces into Afghanistan to support the Northern Alliance. He states in an interview that he will not violate another nation’s sovereignty. Terrorists pour into Afghan training camps. A follow up to 9/11 is planned by Al Qaeda. Eventually Gore authorizes (CG-48) U.S.S. Yorktown to fire a cruise missile at Bin Laden’s last known location. The missile hit’s it’s target, but the Gore administration is embarrassed as Bin Laden is seen later that day in Damascus attending a conference for Palestinian Independence. Bin Laden is the keynote speaker and appologizes fo not paying enough attention to the “plight of his Muslim brothers”. During the speech, suicide bombers simultaneously attack 25 separate targets in Israel, killing over 600 people.


Republicans are squawking that Iraqi President Saddam Hussein is a threat to the safety of the country, that he has weapons of mass destruction. Gore asks the United Nations to send its weapons inspectors back into Iraq, and after six months of searching, they find none. 3 months after the inspectors leave, Iraq gasses 20,000 Kurds with the nerve agent sarin.


In 1998, as vice president, Gore proposed a NASA satellite, Triana, to provide, from a distance of 930,000 miles, a continuous view of the sunlit side of the earth. Triana would measure global warming by measuring how much sunlight is reflected and emitted from the earth and would monitor weather systems. Triana is built and launched in February 2003. In late 2004 it has no effect on the a massive Tsunami that wreaks havoc on a large swath of the Indian Ocean. Triana watches helplessly from orbit, as it is not designed to track Tsunami’s.


The president's favorite book, Stendahl's The Red and the Black, proves to be a huge embarrassment to the President as the average American associates the book's young hero as speaking about Gore when he states: "So there, this is what these rich people are like. First they humiliate you, then they think they can make it up to you by monkey business!"


Recognizing that nothing good can come from the continuing Israeli-Palestinian standoff, Gore sends Holbrooke and Vice President Joe Lieberman to broker a peace. Both men are killed in a Palestinian missile attack on their motorcade. Hillary Clinton is named Vice- President.


As vice president, Gore signed the Kyoto Accord on Climate Change in 1998, but there were not enough votes to ratify it in the Congress, and there still are not. President Gore, however, is able to implement most elements of the treaty by executive order. He begins a process of education about global warming and publishes a book on the subject. Businesses are forced to turn green, and massive lay offs occur. By the time the Kyoto Accords are fully enacted, unemployment stands at 16%. The economy slips deeper into recession. When taxes are raised yet again, some economists start to use the term depression with alarming frequency. Years later, it is noted that Global Warming was a myth, and the Great Millennial Depression started with the Kyoto.

In 2005, Katrina hits. As most of the response is at the state and local levels, the response is a disaster. Due to the ongoing depression, an additional 25,000 homeless families perish in Katrina.


No one is quoting Al Gore’s philosophers on Nov 11 2005, when Dhiren Barot succeeds in destroying the New York Stock Exchange, Chase Bank and Citicorp in New York, The Chicago Board of Trade in Chicago, and the Eurex in Frankfort. The Millennial Depression is now global.
Russia invades Georgia, claiming that they are harboiing Chechen terrorists. NATO and the United States do nothing.


Hugo Chavez invades Brazil war wages on for 10 years before Brazil regains it’s independence.
Gore enacts National Healthcare. Tens of thousands of doctors are forced out of business. Lines are long at “National Clinics” when the great flu epidemic of 2006 hits. 30,000 children and infants are dead because they died before the National Healthcare clinics could schedule an appointment.


The president invites to the White House the person who had the most influence on him, his high school art teacher. The same day Congressman Dennis Hastert file articles of Impeachment, accusing Gore of profiting illegally on a Carbon Credits scheme.


Over 20% of the United Staes now lives in poverty


The undamming of rivers, begun seriously under Clinton/Gore, continues. Energy shortages plague the areas that are no longer receiving hydro-electric power.


George Bush announces he will run for president in 2008- a nation rejoices.

Fire up the liberal hysteria...

by George Dienhart

Nothing gets liberals more worked up than the truth- especially during an election year. Today the president made a statement. One sentence that the left will be crying about throughout the election cycle.

He stated that electing a Democrat president might "eventually lead to another attack on the United States."

Exactly what part of this is untrue? Both Democrats want to cut and run. Both Democrats want to return to battling terrorist through law enforcement agencies. As demonstrated in the Clinton years, law enforcement agencies are ill equipped to lead this battle.

The president delivered this dose of truth yesterday during an interview with the Politico and Yahoo.  Liberals usually use this as fodder for “Republicans win elections through fear” stories. The truth is, if this tactic is used, it only works because Democrats have painted themselves into a corner. They can’t run far enough to the left, and the extreme left wants out of the war at any cost. Obama is pandering to this crowd, and will pull us out of Iraq. This drawdown will be devastating not just to the Iraq, but also to the United States. 9/11 was bad enough, we don’t need an even bigger event to remind us why winning in Iraq is important.

Today's law enforcement shoutout goes to...

by George Dienhart

The Roswell Police. Today they raided a home that was making 30k a day selling HGH, testosterone, and a knock off of Cialis. Way to go Roswell….